Identification of New Positive Tuberculosis Cases in Aceh Besar District Using Ordinary Criging

Tuberculosis is a contagious infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. The risk level of transmission pulmonary tuberculosis with positive smear acid-resistant bacteria (BTA). BTA greater hight than negative smear. This study aims to predict areas the number new cases in Aceh Besar district spatially using kriging method. data used are secondary coordinate point each puskesmas province 2015-2017. experimental semivariogram calculation first step estimating ordinary kriging, which reference for getting parameters be theoretical calculations. In this case, suitable one Spherical model. sill value 126.530, nugget=62, while range based on distance class = 0.158. results analysis showed that regions lowest prediction were around Pulo Sub-District, Montasik and Indrapuri less 15 cases. Whereas region most predictions was Baitussalam Sub-District Jantho City, more 30